CIIB SeriesGOLD
CIIB-006: Anthropic Pays Rent to Its Rivals. Who Owns the Customer?
September 30, 2026
Executive Summary
Reuters read Anthropic's confidential draft IPO prospectus. Nearly half of 2025 revenue, $2.16 billion, ran through Amazon and Google, the companies that fund Anthropic, sell compute to Anthropic, and compete with it. CIIB-006 re-nets the revenue, separates run rate from recognized sales, and makes four dated calls, including our postulate that the clouds will carry 60% of Anthropic's revenue by the end of 2027.
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