RESEARCH · MARKET TRENDS

Market Trends

Vendor strategy, market structure, and where the money moves

Analysis of acquisitions, platform shifts, funding models, and adoption patterns across AI and cloud — the market read behind the press release.

21 ENTRIES

Anthropic’s S-1 Proves the Growth. The Profit Is Thin.

Anthropic filed its S-1 last week, ahead of an IPO that could ease fears of an AI bubble or deepen them. The filing proves the growth. The profit is thin. Across the first half of 2026, Anthropic lost 8 cents for every dollar it spent on compute; in its one profitable quarter, it earned 18. The clouds that rent it that compute earn 57 to 71 cents per dollar of cost. We introduce a new metric, Operating Profit per Compute Dollar (OPCD), and set out what OpenAI should be asked to disclose when it files.

Anthropic's Rent More Than Doubled. Its Reach Kept Climbing.

Oct 26, 2026

Anthropic’s public S-1 is out, and we scored CIIB-006 against it. Of our four calls, one was right outright, one is directionally supported, one missed, and the 60% postulate stays open. Cloud marketplaces carried 48% of first-half 2026 revenue, up four points year on year. The fees Anthropic pays its channel partners rose from about 8 cents per revenue dollar in full-year 2025 to about 17 cents in the first half of 2026. Here’s what that means for enterprises buying Claude through a cloud.

AGI Has Arrived. It Is Not What You Think: It’s Artificial ‘Gated’ Intelligence

Jun 30, 2026

The passport test, the kill-switch, and the restore-switch — what the Fable ban really says. A CloudDon Field Note, June 30, 2026.

Introducing agentmark: Cryptographic Provenance for AI-Generated Code

May 1, 2026

Published by CloudDon Research* · May 1, 2026

Is Kubernetes the AI OS?

Apr 6, 2026

What Cloud-Native Still Needs to Get Right?

2026: The Year the “Vibe Shift” Hits Reality

Mar 16, 2026

12 Uncomfortable Predictions for the Post-Hype Era

What are AI Agents doing on Moltbook?

Mar 11, 2026

Everyone is (or will be soon) building AI Agents. Nobody Is Watching What They Do When Left Alone. I Did. Here is Why You Should Care.

McKinsey’s Agentic AI FUD — Why Complexity Theater Will Kill Adoption?

Sep 24, 2025

<crossposting from my LinkedIn post>

Kubernetes in an AI-Native World: Can It Stay Relevant?

Aug 14, 2025

My observations from KubeCon India, 2025.

GenAI & AI Agents: Global Adoption, H1 2025

PREMIUMJul 31, 2025

Adoption benchmarks for GenAI and agentic AI in the first half of 2025 — deployment rates by industry, spend patterns, and where pilots are converting to production.

The Agentic AI Platforms Landscape: Major Players and Recent Breakthroughs

Jul 30, 2025

Evaluating the impact of AI Agents, one job at a time.

Funding Models for Agentic AI Startups: Emerging Early-Stage Trends

May 6, 2025

Introduction

Global Pulse on GenAI & AI Agents — Driving the Future of Work with GenAI and AI Agents

Jan 6, 2025

Generative AI (GenAI) adoption continues to surge around the globe — but what does that really look like at the organizational level? Our…

Quo Vadis, Kubernetes?

Apr 5, 2024

Is Kubernetes Relevant now?

How large the GenAI opportunity is & how to differentiate?

Jan 31, 2024

[Reposted from How large the GenAI opportunity is & how to differentiate? | LinkedIn]

VMware + Heptio — Win for PKS, Heptio Founders & Investors; Loss for Open Source & Cloud Foundry

Nov 14, 2018

TLDR: Heptio avoided being another Mirantis by taking up on this great offer

IBM + Red Hat: real winner is the enterprise customer

Oct 30, 2018

News

Cloud Native Transformations — Sling TV

Oct 18, 2018

Cloud Native Transformations at SlingTV

Waves of ‘Cloud-Native’ Transformations

Aug 22, 2018

Enterprise CIOs have been working on digitally transforming their IT infrastructure for a while now. Such digital transformations have…

Should Red Hat buy or build a database?

May 25, 2018

TL;DR — Yes. With data gravity influencing where workloads go, not having a database/ DBaaS offering will limit Red Hat’s success as more…

2018 — Tech Predictions: Cloud, Containers, AI, and more

Feb 14, 2018

2018 welcomed us with some of the scariest security vulnerabilities of all time: #Meltdown and #Spectre. As with all end of years, we a saw…